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US Patent 9152918 Resource forecasting using Bayesian model reduction

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Patent
Patent

Patent attributes

Patent Jurisdiction
United States Patent and Trademark Office
United States Patent and Trademark Office
Patent Number
9152918
Date of Patent
October 6, 2015
Patent Application Number
13738149
Date Filed
January 10, 2013
Patent Citations Received
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US Patent 11872337 Fluid preparation and treatment devices methods and systems
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US Patent 11990246 Identifying patients undergoing treatment with a drug who may be misidentified as being at risk for abusing the treatment drug
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Patent Primary Examiner
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Jeffrey A. Gaffin
Patent abstract

A predictive model forecasts a medical resource need by making use of empirical Bayes estimation methods to determine a Dynamic Bayes Network (DBN) model. Exemplary resource needs that may be forecast include nurses, ventilators, hospital rooms, etc. The DBN model is estimated from retrieved data that is related to the resource to be forecast. The DBN model is simplified and a predictive model is generated based on the simplified model. The predictive model runs to forecast the predicted need for the resource. Embodiments are directed toward a predictive model development system that instructs an operator as to the structure of the data so that a model may be tailored based on the understanding of the operator. Embodiments are directed toward a model running system that indexes available models and also employs powerful statistical analysis techniques on behalf of a user to generate a predictive model with little or no user involvement in low-level modeling details.

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