Patent attributes
A model predictive maintenance system for building equipment including one or more processing circuits including processors and memory storing instructions that, when executed by the processors, cause the processors to perform operations. The operations include obtaining an objective function that defines a cost of operating the building equipment and performing maintenance on the building equipment as a function of operating decisions and maintenance decisions for the building equipment for time steps within a time period. The operations include performing an optimization of the objective function to generate a maintenance and replacement strategy for the building equipment over a duration of an optimization period. The operations include estimating a savings loss predicted to result from a deviation from the maintenance and replacement strategy. The operations include adjusting an amount of savings expected to be achieved by energy conservation measures for the building equipment based on the savings loss.