US Patent 11226868 Replication link smoothing using historical data

An aspect includes determining a host write rate based on a number of chunks written to a storage volume during a first replication cycle and determining a target rate based on an estimated number of chunks written during a second replication cycle. The target rate is determined by dividing the number of chunks written during the second replication cycle by a recovery point objective (RPO) period. An aspect also includes transmitting chunks written during the second replication cycle at the target rate.