US Patent 10990891 Predictive modeling for aggregated metrics

A computing resource monitoring service obtains access to aggregated metrics data from computing resources of a computing resource service provider. The computing resource monitoring service may then generate a predictive model based at least in part on the aggregated metrics. The predictive model may then be used to generate a prediction associated with the computing resource and, based at least in part on the prediction, one or more alarms may be triggered. The alarm may be triggered based at least in part on a confidence interval determined based at least in part on the prediction.