US Patent 10408972 System and method for lightning strike prediction and warning

This document presents a system and method for gathering weather data and utilizing that weather data to calculation the upper and lower limits of the lightning formation range within a thunderstorm or storm system. The calculation may provide a probability for the beginning of lightning formation and lightning strikes for a geographic area for a given time period in sufficient time to permit alerts of lightning activity to be formulated and sent to users of the system. Equally, the system may calculate the probability of the cessation of lightning activity for a given geographic area at a specific time. The probability of both beginning and cessation of lightning activity may be provided at greater than 99% confidence.